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Local News

Poll: Newman leads Fricilone by two points in 3rd Congressional District race

'There are reasons to be suspicious of these numbers'

A poll by the firm Ogden & Fry showed a narrow race for the 3rd Illinois Congressional District between Democrat Marie Newman and Republican Mike Fricilone.
A poll by the firm Ogden & Fry showed a narrow race for the 3rd Illinois Congressional District between Democrat Marie Newman and Republican Mike Fricilone.

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Democrat Marie Newman holds a narrow lead over Republican Mike Fricilone in the race for Illinois’ 3rd Illinois Congressional District, according to a recent poll.

In the survey of 608 voters in the district conducted by the firm Ogden & Fry, Newman secured 46.1% of support, while Fricilone earned 43.9%. Still, about 10% of respondents said they preferred another candidate or were undecided.

Both campaigns used the poll to galvanize support.

Fricilone wrote in a Facebook post that the poll “shows that we are in a dead heat with Marie Newman.”

The Will County Board member continued to try to frame Newman as a far-left candidate, arguing that “voters across the 3rd District are rejecting Marie Newman’s radical, socialist agenda.”

In an email to supporters, Newman’s campaign manager Ben Hardin wrote that the poll shows the race is “a lot tighter than anyone thought, with our Republican opponent down just 2.2%.”

“We’ve been hearing that Republicans believe they have a chance to pull off an upset in our race, and now we know why,” Hardin wrote.

After a plea for donations, Hardin added an important caveat to news of the poll.

“Now, no one is panicking,” he wrote. “There are reasons to be suspicious of these numbers – for one, it’s a poll conducted by Republicans for Republicans.”

Still, he argued no one on Newman’s campaign is “taking anything for granted” and that anyone thinking the race was “in the bag” for her should think again.

Newman defeated incumbent U.S. Rep. Dan Lipinski, D-Western Springs, in the March primary election. While she’s voiced support for liberal policies such as Medicare for All, she’s argued her focus on issues such as raising wages and investing in local infrastructure resonate with voters.

Past results in the district also appear to favor Newman, as Lipinski, a more moderate Democrat, routinely won elections over Republicans by wide margins.

The 3rd District includes parts of Crest Hill, Homer Glen, Lockport and Romeoville and runs to the Southwest Side of Chicago.

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